Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.150417 1.402886 1.727719 2.189938 2.855519 3.823841 5.437950
2025-05-11 0.796455 1.058581 1.445632 2.101957 3.297518 5.695653 12.227803
2025-05-18 0.643064 0.904638 1.329249 2.150752 3.977581 9.053886 36.695872
2025-05-25 0.556282 0.817240 1.273710 2.261003 4.909606 15.574904 244.568188
2025-06-01 0.483968 0.732259 1.189757 2.263821 5.616403 25.094218 NaN
2025-06-08 0.422352 0.651659 1.089290 2.177665 5.987171 36.963489 NaN
2025-06-15 0.389744 0.616152 1.067864 2.279431 7.265773 82.187716 NaN
2025-06-22 0.356754 0.573792 1.020850 2.289469 8.241203 189.603724 NaN
2025-06-29 0.325045 0.528945 0.958250 2.225950 8.788802 447.073710 NaN
2025-07-06 0.299814 0.493326 0.909393 2.186731 9.507261 1951.968282 NaN
2025-07-13 0.290140 0.487314 0.928248 2.387800 12.754855 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.277348 0.473008 0.923750 2.506581 16.075331 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.260320 0.448208 0.889202 2.498003 18.243769 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.241876 0.418538 0.837287 2.396537 18.851058 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.230934 0.403969 0.823075 2.456611 23.096430 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.223201 0.395528 0.823910 2.590816 31.270972 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.212536 0.379376 0.800269 2.594294 36.857793 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.200158 0.358240 0.759216 2.489517 37.747196 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.194447 0.351813 0.759930 2.613329 53.353931 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.186642 0.339805 0.742164 2.625570 65.575989 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.177624 0.324244 0.711529 2.548199 69.914531 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.169930 0.311254 0.687194 2.500527 78.072194 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.168250 0.312365 0.706712 2.745732 163.023755 NaN NaN